Current Sad Issues in the Somali Federal Republic

       

﷽ ✍ This amazing text of the argument as written by THE THIRD STRENGTH (X3)

 ★ ★ Current Sad Issues in the Country Somali Federal Republic 

 1. The constitution that President Hassan implemented is characterized by 4 critical points:

  ✿ President took over executive power.

 ✿ Weak parliament.

 ✿ Weak prime minister, with no immunity.

 ✿ An election process tailored to the wishes of the President.

 2. The Puntland regional government, which was the backbone of the government building process, has broken down, and the opposition forces are on alert.

 3. The number and quality of the National Army is very poor, due to bad leadership and the losses suffered by Al-Shabaab.

 4. Ethiopia is determined to separate Somalia and take strategic parts of the Somali region.

 ★ ★These four points are the reality in the country today.

 Explosives and Potential Damage:

 1. The country is badly divided. According to reliable information, South West is next to Puntland which will also take a "self-consultation" decision. Jubaland will be affected, which will also deviate from the Federal Government, due to the desire of Ahmed Madobe and his political destiny against the DFS policy.

 2. Civil war resulting from the growing conflict related to the constitution and the electoral process. The first places where the war will break out are Mogadishu and Galmudug. It is possible that there will be a flood in the South West, if the Laftagareen opposition gets forces to send them from the interior or the leaders of the KG opposition get a chance to reach the interior of the KG. However, Laftagareen will close the air, and Ethiopia will support it. This is a stage that will remind us of the 1991 awards.

 3. Al-Shabaab taking over the country due to the failure of the national army, the disintegration of the country, threats from foreigners and bad leadership. If this happens, then we will begin the calculation from a similar but worse and more complicated period of Islamic rule.

 4. President Hassan who agrees to negotiate after it fails, the country continues to divide, Al-Shabaab grows stronger, and the situation seems to be a big threat to outsiders.

 ★ ★ Then there will be 3 critical issues:

 ✿ Puntland and other parts of the opposition will demand international mediation and Somalis who used to decide their own destiny will disappear. So we start the story from 2010-2012 and the time when the interim constitution was being negotiated, and there was foreign intervention that affected the structure of the interim constitution.

 ✿ Very serious issues that arise in the negotiations, such as agreeing on the capital of Somalia. Puntland is one of the parties that will bring this article to the negotiation table. This will complicate the talks and create new discussions and re-opening of principles that Somalis have already agreed upon. We will then return to a stage similar to 1958-1960, when the principles of the country's first constitution were agreed upon.

 ✿ Prolonged debates and going into the election period without anything being agreed upon, which leads to instability, uncertainty and the collapse of the central pillar of the federation.

 ★ ★ This danger can be avoided only by two points �� 

 1. President Hassan suspended the 4 chapters of the constitution he signed. His legal path is simple and based on the interest of the country.

 2. The president who works seriously in an inclusive negotiation process, as soon as possible